Hedge Betting Reliance Factors - UK/European Divisions

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HOME WIN CALLS		Full Week (Mon - Sun)
Week No. 39	Week Beginning: 21 Apr 2025	Season: 2024-2025

The following shows the "Correct Scores" Reliance Factors up to the end of the previous week (until midnight on Sunday), listed in order of Reliability, based on the past 10 matches played at either the Home or Away venue (as appropriate) for all Staying Teams (not for Promoted or Relegated Teams). In theory, the "Average" Reliance Factors ought to indicate where it is worth doing hedge betting with Correct Scores (usually to a maximum of 4 alternative score-lines).


1	27 Apr 14:00	Inter Milan v Roma	IS	1 - 0	0 - 1	30.5	25.5	28	5
2	23 Apr 20:30	Alaves v R Sociedad	SL	1 - 0	1 - 0	28.5	16.5	22.5	12
3	24 Apr 17:45	AZ Alkmaar v NAC Breda	NE	1 - 0	1 - 1	26	25.5	25.75	0.5
4	26 Apr 15:00	Kilmarnock v Ross C	SP	3 - 1	2 - 0	26	16	21	10
5	27 Apr 18:00	V Guimaraes v Rio Ave VDC	PP	2 - 1	3 - 0	25.5	21	23.25	4.5
6	22 Apr 20:30	Barcelona v Mallorca	SL	1 - 0	1 - 0	23	21	22	2
7	27 Apr 18:00	Benfica L v AVS	PP	4 - 0	6 - 0	23	14	18.5	9
8	26 Apr 12:30	Chelsea v Everton	EP	2 - 1	1 - 0	23	13.5	18.25	9.5
9	24 Apr 20:30	A Madrid v Rayo V	SL	2 - 1	3 - 0	23	11	17	12
10	27 Apr 15:15	Villarreal v Espanyol	SL	1 - 0	1 - 0	22	29.5	25.75	7.5
11	26 Apr 14:30	B Munich v Mainz 05	GB	1 - 0	3 - 0	22	17	19.5	5
12	27 Apr 16:30	Liverpool v Tottenham H	EP	2 - 0	5 - 1	22	9.5	15.75	12.5
13	27 Apr 14:00	Lazio v Parma	IS	1 - 0	P - P	21	13	17	8
14	22 Apr 18:00	Valencia v Espanyol	SL	2 - 1	1 - 1	20.5	29.5	25	9
15	26 Apr 16:00	Strasbourg v St Etienne	FL	3 - 1	3 - 1	20.5	21	20.75	0.5
16	27 Apr 14:00	Napoli v Torino	IS	1 - 0	2 - 0	19.5	15.5	17.5	4
17	26 Apr 15:30	Santa Clara v Arouca	PP	1 - 0	2 - 0	19.5	11.5	15.5	8
18	26 Apr 15:00	Newcastle U v Ipswich T	EP	3 - 1	3 - 0	19	14	16.5	5
19	25 Apr 19:45	Paris SG v Nice	FL	1 - 0	1 - 3	18.5	25	21.75	6.5
20	27 Apr 14:00	Como v Genoa	IS	1 - 0	1 - 0	18	11.5	14.75	6.5
21	26 Apr 14:30	Bayer L v Augsburg	GB	2 - 1	2 - 0	18	8	13	10
22	26 Apr 17:30	E Frankfurt v RB Leipzig	GB	2 - 1	4 - 0	17.5	17.5	17.5	0
23	26 Apr 18:00	Gil Vicente v Farense	PP	1 - 0	1 - 0	17.5	17.5	17.5	0
24	27 Apr 14:00	Bournemouth v Manchester U	EP	1 - 0	1 - 1	17.5	12	14.75	5.5
25	26 Apr 15:00	Hearts v Dundee	SP	2 - 1	0 - 1	17	12.5	14.75	4.5
26	27 Apr 14:00	Atalanta v Lecce	IS	3 - 0	1 - 1	16.5	19	17.75	2.5
27	27 Apr 11:15	Fortuna Sittard v Willem II	NE	1 - 0	1 - 0	16.5	14	15.25	2.5
28	27 Apr 15:30	Moreirense v Nacional F	PP	2 - 1	1 - 1	16	27	21.5	11
29	27 Apr 19:45	Marseille v Brest	FL	3 - 1	4 - 1	15.5	20	17.75	4.5
30	26 Apr 14:00	Sivasspor v Antalyaspor	TS	2 - 1	2 - 0	15.5	13.5	14.5	2
31	21 Apr 11:30	Torino v Udinese	IS	1 - 0	2 - 0	15	24.5	19.75	9.5
32	24 Apr 20:30	R Betis v Valladolid	SL	6 - 0	5 - 1	14.5	25	19.75	10.5
33	27 Apr 16:15	Lens v Auxerre	FL	2 - 1	0 - 4	14.5	15	14.75	0.5
34	25 Apr 18:00	Besiktas I v Hatayspor	TS	3 - 1	5 - 1	13.5	20.5	17	7
35	22 Apr 20:00	Manchester C v Aston V	EP	3 - 1	2 - 1	13.5	14	13.75	0.5
36	23 Apr 20:00	Arsenal v Crystal P	EP	1 - 0	2 - 2	13.5	9	11.25	4.5
37	26 Apr 20:05	Lyon v Rennes	FL	2 - 1	4 - 1	13	22	17.5	9
38	23 Apr 18:00	A Bilbao v L Palmas	SL	1 - 0	1 - 0	13	17.5	15.25	4.5
39	25 Apr 19:30	Stuttgart v Heidenheim	GB	2 - 1	0 - 1	13	17.5	15.25	4.5
40	27 Apr 13:30	Ajax v Sparta	NE	2 - 0	1 - 1	12.5	14.5	13.5	2
41	21 Apr 20:00	Girona v R Betis	SL	2 - 1	1 - 3	12.5	9	10.75	3.5
42	26 Apr 15:00	Aberdeen v Hibernian	SP	1 - 0	1 - 0	12.5	7	9.75	5.5
43	27 Apr 14:00	Trabzonspor v Alanyaspor	TS	3 - 1	4 - 3	12	16.5	14.25	4.5
44	27 Apr 14:00	Konyaspor v Adana Demirspor	TS	4 - 1	3 - 1	11.5	19	15.25	7.5
45	24 Apr 18:00	Osasuna v Sevilla	SL	2 - 1	1 - 0	11.5	17	14.25	5.5
46	27 Apr 17:00	Kayserispor v Rizespor	TS	2 - 1	1 - 0	11.5	17	14.25	5.5
47	27 Apr 13:30	Heerenveen v Nijmegen	NE	2 - 1	1 - 0	11.5	10.5	11	1
48	25 Apr 20:00	Feyenoord v Zwolle	NE	3 - 1	4 - 0	11.5	10	10.75	1.5
49	23 Apr 19:00	Groningen v Heracles	NE	2 - 0	4 - 1	10	22.5	16.25	12.5
50	27 Apr 14:00	Fiorentina v Empoli FC	IS	1 - 0	2 - 1	10	21.5	15.75	11.5
51	26 Apr 15:00	Brighton n H v West Ham U	EP	2 - 1	3 - 2	9.5	15	12.25	5.5
52	27 Apr 14:00	Hellas V v Cagliari	IS	1 - 0	P - P	9	17	13	8
53	27 Apr 14:00	Juventus v Monza	IS	4 - 0	2 - 0	6	9.5	7.75	3.5
Total Correct Calls				38
Total Correct Score Hits				9

The above figures are "relative" only, and relate to how near to (or far away from) the ACTUAL Score-Lines the Program's originally posted "Anticipated Scorelines" (ASL's) have been, looking backwards over the past 10 matches.

If the "Hedge Betting Reliance Factor" for a team is low, then it means that the ASL has been way off the mark many times, and therefore that team's ASL is unreliable and inappropriate for use when deciding Correct Scores "Hedge Betting".

ASL = Our Anticipated Score-Line
Act Res = Actual Result (once known)
Avg = Average Reliabilities
Diff = Difference in Hedge Betting Reliance Factor Italicised score-line = relegated and/or promoted teams playing